Military, Russia, War, Invasion

Escalation Risks in Eastern Europe and the Shadow of World War III

Written by Elisa Garbil – 18.09.2025 The geopolitical temperature in Eastern Europe has been rising sharply. In recent weeks, Poland has found itself at the forefront of a dangerous escalation between NATO and Russia. Russian drones have repeatedly intruded into Polish airspace, testing both Poland’s defensive capabilities and NATO’s collective resolve. Warsaw has responded decisively, scrambling jets,…

Serbia, Serbian Flag, Military

Serbia’s Protests and the Risks of a Standoff

Written by Elisa Garbil – 15.09.2025 In the late summer of 2025, Serbia finds itself at a pivotal juncture. Tens of thousands of demonstrators continue to flood Belgrade’s streets, joined increasingly by smaller towns across the country. At the heart of the mobilisation lies a deep frustration with entrenched corruption, economic insecurity, and the tightening grip of…

Antimicrobial Resistance: The Silent Global Security Threat and the Risks of Inaction

Antimicrobial Resistance: The Silent Global Security Threat and the Risks of Inaction

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, Dominic Bowen is joined by Dr. Ramanan Laxminarayan to explore antimicrobial resistance (AMR) as one of the most urgent yet under-recognised global risks. Often described as a silent crisis, AMR already claims more than 1.3 million lives each year. Its impact stretches far beyond hospitals and laboratories….

Tariffs, Populism, and the Future of Global Economic Strategy

Tariffs, Populism, and the Future of Global Economic Strategy

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, Dominic Bowen is joined by Professor Kimberley Clausing to examine the politics, economics, and international risks associated with tariffs. She holds the Eric M. Zolt Chair in Tax Law and Policy at the UCLA School of Law. Professor Clausing is also a nonresident senior fellow at the…

international risk ceo briefing geopolitics

What CEOs Need to Know Now: The New Cost of Global Business

The last 30 years, and the playbook of cheap capital, predictable global rules, and low-friction trade is over. Trade is now power politics more than ever before, geopolitics is being re-priced, and the dollar’s risk-free status is at risk. This article will help make sense of all the noise. Bloomberg’s weekend cover story captures the…

NATO at a Strategic Crossroads: Unity, Pressure, and the Future of Collective Defence

NATO at a Strategic Crossroads: Unity, Pressure, and the Future of Collective Defence

In a recent episode of The International Risk Podcast, host Dominic Bowen was joined by Professor Jamie Shea, one of NATO’s most experienced insiders and former Deputy Assistant Secretary General, to examine the Alliance at a moment of profound transformation. With nearly four decades of service at NATO, Dr. Shea offered a candid and deeply…

Yemen Flag

From Insurgency to Influence: The Houthis’ Red Sea Expansion

Written by Elisa Garbil – 28.08.2025 The transformation of Yemen’s Houthi movement from a marginal insurgency to a disruptive regional force marks one of the most significant non-state evolutions in contemporary Middle Eastern politics. Their growing military capabilities, ideological expansion, and strategic autonomy have positioned the Houthis as not just a local Yemeni problem but a geopolitical…

BRICS

BRICS at a Crossroads in a Shifting Global Order

Written by Elisa Garbil – 25.08.2025 In 2025, the BRICS grouping, originally composed of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, stands at a pivotal juncture. Once a loosely aligned coalition of emerging economies seeking a louder voice in global governance, the BRICS have transformed into a more assertive and expanded formation, aiming to reshape the foundations…

China’s Calculated Revisionism: Stability as Narrative, and Leverage as Strategy

China’s Calculated Revisionism: Stability as Narrative, and Leverage as Strategy

The latest episode of the International Risk Podcast offers a precise window into how Beijing is positioning itself in a more volatile international environment. In conversation with Dominic Bowen, Dr Audrye Wong outlines a China that is neither a reckless revolutionary nor a passive status quo power. It is, instead, a cautious and adaptive actor…