Iraq international risks political democratic protests

Democracy Under Siege: Lessons from Iraq and Global Electoral Integrity

As the Middle East navigates a year marked by upheaval—Syria’s post-Assad transition and Israel’s escalated conflict with Lebanon—another critical narrative unfolds with quieter urgency. Iraq, a nation of immense geopolitical importance, approaches its 2025 elections amid complex challenges that mirror broader global threats to democracy. Iraq’s precarious experiment with democracy, its lessons for post-conflict governance,…

2025 global economy forecast

Navigating Risks and Opportunities in the Global Economy: Insights for 2025

The global economy is entering uncharted waters. Once-reliable anchors such as low inflation, minimal interest rates, seamless international trade, and cooperative geopolitics have become increasingly unstable. These shifts introduce a new level of uncertainty to the economic outlook for 2025 and beyond, raising important questions for business leaders navigating a rapidly changing environment. Europe at…

New Orleans truck terrorist attack

Terrorism and International Risks: An Assessment

The dawn of 2025 was marked by a tragic act of terrorism in New Orleans USA. A lone attacker, Shamsud-Din Jabbar, drove a pickup truck into crowded Bourbon Street celebrations, killing fourteen people and injuring over thirty. The FBI’s investigation revealed Jabbar acted alone, inspired by the Islamic State’s (ISIS) Digital Caliphate – a stark…

US treasury department hack and international risk

US Treasury Department Hacked: China’s Cyber Espionage and Global Risks

In the early days of December 2024, as the world prepared for the holiday season, a silent storm was brewing within the digital corridors of the US Treasury Department. Unbeknownst to its officials, a sophisticated cyber intrusion was underway, orchestrated by a state-sponsored actor from China. This breach would soon be recognised as a “major…

sorcery

Violence and Risk in Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea represents a unique case study in international risk due to its complex interplay of social, political, and economic challenges. PNG struggles with violence, corruption, and governance are not isolated phenomena but are part of larger patterns that resonate across other nations facing similar developmental hurdles. For businesses and organizations operating in or…

Institutional and Socioeconomic Risks in Syria in a Post-Assad Era

Institutional and Socioeconomic Risks in Syria in a Post-Assad Era

The fall of the Assad regime represents a pivotal moment in Syria’s history, marking the end of over five decades of authoritarian rule and raising significant questions about international governance, geopolitical risks, and the broader stability of the Middle East.This transformative event comes at a time of heightened geopolitical tension, with the region navigating profound…

Destroyed Houses in Syria

The Ongoing Conflict in Syria: Israel’s Involvement, Assad’s Brutality, and the Rebellion’s Complexities

The Syrian civil war, now entering its 13th year, remains one of the most complex and devastating conflicts in modern history. With multiple actors involved and shifting alliances, Syria’s war has not only torn the country apart but also drawn in neighboring states, including Israel. Recent developments, including Israel’s aggressive military actions, the ongoing humanitarian…