2025 global economy forecast

Navigating Risks and Opportunities in the Global Economy: Insights for 2025

The global economy is entering uncharted waters. Once-reliable anchors such as low inflation, minimal interest rates, seamless international trade, and cooperative geopolitics have become increasingly unstable. These shifts introduce a new level of uncertainty to the economic outlook for 2025 and beyond, raising important questions for business leaders navigating a rapidly changing environment. Europe at…

New Orleans truck terrorist attack

Terrorism and International Risks: An Assessment

The dawn of 2025 was marked by a tragic act of terrorism in New Orleans USA. A lone attacker, Shamsud-Din Jabbar, drove a pickup truck into crowded Bourbon Street celebrations, killing fourteen people and injuring over thirty. The FBI’s investigation revealed Jabbar acted alone, inspired by the Islamic State’s (ISIS) Digital Caliphate – a stark…

US treasury department hack and international risk

US Treasury Department Hacked: China’s Cyber Espionage and Global Risks

In the early days of December 2024, as the world prepared for the holiday season, a silent storm was brewing within the digital corridors of the US Treasury Department. Unbeknownst to its officials, a sophisticated cyber intrusion was underway, orchestrated by a state-sponsored actor from China. This breach would soon be recognised as a “major…

sorcery

Violence and Risk in Papua New Guinea

Written by Elisa Garbil – 26.12.2024 Papua New Guinea represents a unique case study in international risk due to its complex interplay of social, political, and economic challenges. PNG struggles with violence, corruption, and governance are not isolated phenomena but are part of larger patterns that resonate across other nations facing similar developmental hurdles. For…

Institutional and Socioeconomic Risks in Syria in a Post-Assad Era

Institutional and Socioeconomic Risks in Syria in a Post-Assad Era

Author: Camila Mateos Betancourt The fall of the Assad regime represents a pivotal moment in Syria’s history, marking the end of over five decades of authoritarian rule and raising significant questions about international governance, geopolitical risks, and the broader stability of the Middle East.This transformative event comes at a time of heightened geopolitical tension, with…

Destroyed Houses in Syria

The Ongoing Conflict in Syria: Israel’s Involvement, Assad’s Brutality, and the Rebellion’s Complexities

Written by Elisa Garbil – 16.12.2024 The Syrian civil war, now entering its 13th year, remains one of the most complex and devastating conflicts in modern history. With multiple actors involved and shifting alliances, Syria’s war has not only torn the country apart but also drawn in neighboring states, including Israel. Recent developments, including Israel’s…

data, coding, hacking

Russia’s growing influence in the East and the ongoing war in Ukraine

Written by Elisa Garbil – 02.12.2024 As is known, on the 24th of February 2022, the Russian President Vladimir Putin launched an invasion into Ukraine. It has been over two years and seven months, and there seems to be no sight of the end of the war. Putin seems to be unwilling to negotiate, and it…