international risk strategic foresight

Global Risk Landscape in November 2025

Strategic Overview of the International Risk Landscape The world is experiencing heightened geopolitical instability, international risk, and shifting alliances. Major conflicts from Russia’s war in Ukraine to turmoil in the Middle East that are reshaping global power dynamics and straining international security. Rivalries between great powers have intensified, with authoritarian states like Russia, China, and…

France at the Crossroads: Debt, Politics, and Taxing the Ultra-Rich

France at the Crossroads: Debt, Politics, and Taxing the Ultra-Rich

In this episode of the International Risk Podcast, Dominic Bowen is joined by Susannah Streeter to examine the pressures weighing on France’s economy, from credit downgrades and long-running deficits to a political landscape that struggles to deliver coherent fiscal reform. Their exchange explores how these domestic challenges shape Europe’s wider financial stability, raising questions about investor confidence, the…

Trump

Risk and Resilience in a Fragmenting Global Order

Written by Elisa Garbil – 24.11.2025 The era of seamless globalisation has entered a period of structural stress. What once appeared to be an inexorable process of economic integration is now fracturing into competing regional blocs and politicised supply chains. The assumption that trade would naturally expand, that borders would soften, and that efficiency would prevail over…

People Walking

Bias in the Identification of Victims of Human Trafficking in the European Union

Written by Elisa Garbil – 21.11.2025 Human trafficking remains one of the most pressing human rights and security challenges in the European Union. Despite decades of legislation and anti-trafficking initiatives, significant gaps persist in the identification and assistance of victims. Statistical evidence from 2017 to 2018 demonstrates a disproportionate focus on female victims of sexual exploitation, leaving…

Shadow Fleets and the Fragility of Global Verification: Building Verifiable Maritime Intelligence From the Ocean Floor to the Orbit

Shadow Fleets and the Fragility of Global Verification: Building Verifiable Maritime Intelligence From the Ocean Floor to the Orbit

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, Dominic Bowen speaks with Tuana Yazici and Steven Adler about the emergence of shadow fleets as a strategic challenge to global maritime security and the difficulties of building verifiable intelligence across both the ocean and space domains. Bowen opens with unambiguous urgency, describing shadow fleets as “the…

Kosovo War

Fault Lines and Forecasts: A Risk-Based Assessment of the Kosovo–Serbia Conflict

Written by Elisa Garbil – 17.11.2025 Conflict between Kosovo and Serbia remains one of Europe’s most persistent and complex security dilemmas. More than two decades after NATO’s intervention in 1999, the region continues to balance precariously between tense coexistence and renewed confrontation. Listen to Serbeze Haxhiaj‘s episode to find out more! Historical Context What we are witnessing today…

The Anatomy of Sudan’s Collapse: War Economy, Foreign Support, and a Nation Under Siege

The Anatomy of Sudan’s Collapse: War Economy, Foreign Support, and a Nation Under Siege

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, Dominic Bowen speaks with Dr. Amgad Fareid Eltayeb about Sudan’s descent into catastrophe, the role of foreign backers in sustaining the war, and the deliberate use of famine as a weapon. Their conversation traces how a country once full of revolutionary hope has become the site of…

Earth Observation, ESG, and the Geopolitics of Space-Based Data

Earth Observation, ESG, and the Geopolitics of Space-Based Data

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, host Dominic Bowen speaks with Sabrina Alam about the governance, strategic influence, and sustainability implications of Earth observation and space-based data. Their discussion explores how satellites are transforming environmental transparency while reshaping global power structures. Earth observation has become one of the most powerful tools for understanding…

Sahel

The Sahel at a Crossroads: Mapping the Intersecting Risks of Fragility, Conflict and Resilience

Written by Elisa Garbil – 10.11.2025 Across the dry savannahs that stretch from Mauritania to Chad, the Sahel stands as one of the world’s most fragile regions. A place where political instability, violent extremism, displacement, and climate stress are converging into a perfect storm. Once viewed mainly as a buffer between North and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Sahel…

Resilience, Hybrid Warfare, and the Future of Security: Lessons from Ukraine

Resilience, Hybrid Warfare, and the Future of Security: Lessons from Ukraine

In this episode of The International Risk Podcast, host Dominic Bowen joins live from Kyiv in conversation with one of our international relations specialists to examine how hybrid warfare, authoritarian cooperation, and civilian resilience are reshaping Europe’s security landscape. Speaking from Ukraine as the country endures its most intense wave of drone and missile attacks…