Antoine Renaux

Antoine Renaux

Antoine Renaux is an Economic Intelligence & Geopolitics Analyst, his expertise lies in defence and security policy, economic intelligence, and geopolitical risk analysis. His career spans strategic intelligence, public affairs, and policy analysis roles across both public and private sectors, giving him a nuanced, operational understanding of complex international dynamics. His key areas of expertise…

Military, Russia, War, Invasion

Escalation Risks in Eastern Europe and the Shadow of World War III

Written by Elisa Garbil – 18.09.2025 The geopolitical temperature in Eastern Europe has been rising sharply. In recent weeks, Poland has found itself at the forefront of a dangerous escalation between NATO and Russia. Russian drones have repeatedly intruded into Polish airspace, testing both Poland’s defensive capabilities and NATO’s collective resolve. Warsaw has responded decisively, scrambling jets,…

Episode 267: Drones Over Poland, Drills on the Border: How Moscow Tests NATO’s Resolve with Antoine Renaux

Coordinated and Produced by Elisa Garbil With the Zapad Military exercises occurring again near the Polish border, Dominic Bowen has Antoine Renaux on the podcast. They analyse the challenges of NATO, Russia’s probing operations, NATO’s response, and more importantly, NATO’s preparedness. Find out more about Article 5 and the potential scenarios, why hybrid warfare and cyber attacks are…

NATO at a Strategic Crossroads: Unity, Pressure, and the Future of Collective Defence

NATO at a Strategic Crossroads: Unity, Pressure, and the Future of Collective Defence

In a recent episode of The International Risk Podcast, host Dominic Bowen was joined by Professor Jamie Shea, one of NATO’s most experienced insiders and former Deputy Assistant Secretary General, to examine the Alliance at a moment of profound transformation. With nearly four decades of service at NATO, Dr. Shea offered a candid and deeply…

Episode 263: NATO in a Shifting World and the Next Chapter of Collective Defence with Dr. Jamie Shea

In this episode Dominic Bowen and Dr. Jamie Shea unpack NATO at a moment of historic change. Find out more about how fear has re-emerged as a unifying force within the Alliance, the political and economic challenges of reaching unprecedented defence spending levels, industrial bottlenecks and Ukraine’s role as a partner in innovation and supply,…

Jamie Shea

Jamie Shea

Jamie Shea CMG is Professor at the College of Europe Natolin.  He is also a Senior Fellow responsible for security and defence programmes at Friends of Europe and a Senior Advisor with the European Policy Centre.  Both of these think tanks are based in Brussels.  More recently, Jamie Shea has assumed the position of Senior…

Stefan Wolff

Stefan Wolff

Stefan Wolff is Professor of International Security in Political Science and International Studies, at the University of Birmingham. A political scientist by background, he specialises in the management of contemporary security challenges, especially in the prevention and settlement of ethnic conflicts, in post-conflict state-building in deeply divided and war-torn societies, and in contemporary geopolitics and great-power…

The Red Sea Crisis: Global Maritime Security and Trade Amidst Growing International Risk

The Red Sea Crisis: Global Maritime Security and Trade Amidst Growing International Risk

The Red Sea, a linchpin of global commerce, has become a vortex of geopolitical friction, maritime instability, and international risk. In a recent dialogue on the International Risk Podcast, Professor Jamie Shea, a renowned academic and seasoned strategist with 38 years at NATO, including as Deputy Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, illuminated the…

Episode 244: Naval Crowding and the Risk of Escalation in the Red Sea with Jamie Shea

In this week’s episode, we dive into the intensifying crisis in the Red Sea with Professor Jamie Shea. Dominic and Professor Shea unpack the surge of Houthi attacks on commercial shipping, the strategic responses of global powers including China, the United States, France, and Gulf states, and the regional and global ramifications of these disruptions….

The Future of Defense: International Security and the Fragile Future of Global Alliances

The Future of Defense: International Security and the Fragile Future of Global Alliances

Author: Camila Mateos Betancourt The United States, led by Trump, is becoming an increasingly unreliable ally for Europe as it aligns with Russia’s priorities at the expense of Ukraine’s security and sovereignty. The U.S. showed the world just how far it was willing to go in pursuit of its own agenda with the public humiliation…